Live model portfolio · Day 0

Ten candidates.
Capital must be earned.

MITUXA follows ten specialised businesses, but allocates virtual capital only when quality, value creation, resilience, runway and valuation all pass. A good company can remain WAIT.

Decision date · 27 August 2026

01 / DECISION RULES

Quality opens the door.
Price decides the entry.

BUY1

All decisive MITUXA gates passed.

WAIT9

At least one decisive gate remains open.

BUY requires current profitability, positive free cash flow, financial resilience, ROIC above the required return, a defensible moat, reinvestment runway and at least a 25% discount to MITUXA fair value. WAIT is not a rejection: it identifies the exact condition that must improve.

Starting capital€10,000Virtual model portfolio
Active BUY1Only after every gate passes
WAIT candidates9Quality alone is not enough
Capital per BUY€1,00010% maximum initial allocation
Review rhythmMonthlyFundamentals before price
Safety rule25%Required discount to fair value

02 / WHY IPD GROUP IS BUY

BUY

Growth is converting into cash—and the price still passes.

MITUXA VIEW · 27 August 2026A$5.50

Reference close

MITUXA FAIR VALUEA$7.50
BUY CEILINGA$5.63
MARGIN OF SAFETY26.7%
UPSIDE TO FAIR VALUE+36.4%
CONVICTIONMedium

REPORTED · FY2026

FY26 revenueA$414.3m+16.8%
FY26 EBITDAA$55.4m+19.4%
Operating free cash flowA$46.8mStrong conversion
Net debtA$16.4mReduced
FY26 EPSA$0.297+17.4%
Reference P/E18.5×At A$5.50

WHY IT PASSES

01

Structural runway

Grid upgrades, data centres, industrial electrification and energy infrastructure create multi-year demand.

02

Profitable growth

Revenue, EBITDA and EPS all advanced at double-digit rates, with EBITDA growing faster than sales.

03

Cash and resilience

Strong cash conversion and falling net debt give the company room to reinvest without depending on dilution.

04

Investable valuation

The completed A$5.50 close sits below the A$5.63 MITUXA entry ceiling and therefore just passes the 25% safety rule.

THE RISK

IPD is a distributor, not a patent-protected software company. Supplier dependence, construction and data-centre cycles, acquisition integration and weaker cash conversion are the principal risks.

INVALIDATION

Review the BUY if organic growth falls below 5%, cash conversion deteriorates materially, leverage rises above 2× EBITDA, or the fair-value assumptions weaken.

Company evidence ↗

Decision: BUY, not “buy at any price”. The margin is narrow; above A$5.63, IPD returns to WAIT unless fair value rises on verified fundamentals.

03 / PERFORMANCE

Cash is also a decision.

Portfolio and benchmarks begin at 100.00 using the same closing date. Only BUY names receive capital; the remainder stays in cash until a dated upgrade. Performance will be updated monthly after corporate actions, dividends and currency effects are verified.

MITUXA SMALL CAPS PORTFOLIO100.0010% invested · 90% cash
RUSSELL 2000 TOTAL RETURN100.00Small-cap benchmark
S&P 500 TOTAL RETURN100.00Broad-market benchmark

First performance update: after the first completed monthly review.

04 / BUY & WAIT

Every company receives a decision—and a reason.

Decision date: 27 August 2026.
No narrative overrides the rules.

01
Sweden · Nasdaq Stockholm

HMS Networks

HMS
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Valuation

Exceptional margins, cash generation and structural growth pass the quality test. At roughly 47× trailing earnings, the required 25% margin of safety is absent.

Reassess after a meaningful valuation reset or faster per-share cash-flow growth.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
02
Norway · Oslo Børs

Medistim

MEDI
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Valuation

A focused moat, debt-free balance sheet and record growth are compelling. The current earnings multiple still leaves insufficient downside protection under the MITUXA 25% rule.

Wait for a wider discount or another step-up in recurring growth and free cash flow.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
03
Finland · Nasdaq Helsinki

Vaisala

VAIAS
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Valuation

Improving orders, margins and operating cash flow pass the business test. A valuation above 30× earnings, close to the annual high, does not pass the entry test.

Require a cheaper entry without deterioration in order growth or EBITA quality.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
04
Norway · Oslo Børs

Kitron

KIT
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Risk-adjusted valuation

Record growth and better cash conversion are genuine. The price already discounts substantial execution while defence concentration and manufacturing cyclicality remain material.

Prefer a valuation reset or proof that current growth can persist beyond the defence surge.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
05
United States · Nasdaq

Bel Fuse

BELFB
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Valuation

Revenue, margin and adjusted earnings momentum are excellent, but the share-price rerating has run far ahead of normalised earnings. The margin of safety is no longer adequate.

Wait for valuation compression or sustained earnings that validate the new multiple.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
06
Australia · ASX

Chrysos Corporation

C79
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Earnings maturity

Contracted growth, scaling margins and positive operating cash flow strengthen the thesis. Profitability is still too young and the valuation depends on aggressive future deployment.

Require a longer record of free cash flow and returns on deployed capital before upgrading.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
07
United Kingdom · London Stock Exchange

discoverIE Group

DSCV
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Margin of safety

Free-cash-flow conversion and 15.2% ROCE pass the quality screen. At the current rating, acquisitions and margin expansion must work too well to provide a full 25% safety buffer.

Reassess at a lower price or after organic growth improves without higher leverage.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
08
Australia · ASX

IPD Group

IPG
BUYDECISIVE GATE · All gates passed

Profitable growth, rising margins, strong operating free cash flow and lower net debt combine with a reasonable earnings multiple. The latest completed close sits inside our estimated 25% margin-of-safety zone.

Initial model allocation: €1,000. Reassess if cash conversion or organic growth weakens materially.Latest company evidence ↗
10% active€1,000 allocated
09
Sweden · Nasdaq Stockholm

CellaVision

CEVI
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Growth / valuation

High margins, net cash and an embedded diagnostic workflow remain attractive. Growth is not yet strong enough to justify the current mid-to-high twenties earnings multiple with 25% protection.

Wait for faster recurring growth or a lower valuation.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved
10
Netherlands · Euronext Amsterdam

Kendrion

KENDR
WAITDECISIVE GATE · Quality confirmation

The industrial pivot, margin recovery and cash generation are encouraging, and valuation is reasonable. Growth, balance-sheet liquidity and durable returns on capital need further confirmation.

Upgrade only if industrial growth and free cash flow persist through the transformation.Latest company evidence ↗
10% target€1,000 reserved

05 / GOVERNANCE

What we will—and will not—change.

Monthly reviews can change a thesis or move a company between BUY and WAIT. They cannot invent an earlier entry. A WAIT upgrade receives the next verified regular-market close and a dated explanation.

  • BUY requires every decisive gate to pass.
  • WAIT capital remains in cash.
  • Corporate actions, dividends and currency are recorded.
  • No entry or decision is rewritten retroactively.