Live model portfolio · Day 0
Ten candidates.
Capital must be earned.
MITUXA follows ten specialised businesses, but allocates virtual capital only when quality, value creation, resilience, runway and valuation all pass. A good company can remain WAIT.
Decision date · 27 August 202601 / DECISION RULES
Quality opens the door.
Price decides the entry.
All decisive MITUXA gates passed.
At least one decisive gate remains open.
BUY requires current profitability, positive free cash flow, financial resilience, ROIC above the required return, a defensible moat, reinvestment runway and at least a 25% discount to MITUXA fair value. WAIT is not a rejection: it identifies the exact condition that must improve.
02 / WHY IPD GROUP IS BUY
BUYGrowth is converting into cash—and the price still passes.
Reference close
REPORTED · FY2026
WHY IT PASSES
Structural runway
Grid upgrades, data centres, industrial electrification and energy infrastructure create multi-year demand.
Profitable growth
Revenue, EBITDA and EPS all advanced at double-digit rates, with EBITDA growing faster than sales.
Cash and resilience
Strong cash conversion and falling net debt give the company room to reinvest without depending on dilution.
Investable valuation
The completed A$5.50 close sits below the A$5.63 MITUXA entry ceiling and therefore just passes the 25% safety rule.
IPD is a distributor, not a patent-protected software company. Supplier dependence, construction and data-centre cycles, acquisition integration and weaker cash conversion are the principal risks.
Review the BUY if organic growth falls below 5%, cash conversion deteriorates materially, leverage rises above 2× EBITDA, or the fair-value assumptions weaken.
Decision: BUY, not “buy at any price”. The margin is narrow; above A$5.63, IPD returns to WAIT unless fair value rises on verified fundamentals.
03 / PERFORMANCE
Cash is also a decision.
Portfolio and benchmarks begin at 100.00 using the same closing date. Only BUY names receive capital; the remainder stays in cash until a dated upgrade. Performance will be updated monthly after corporate actions, dividends and currency effects are verified.
First performance update: after the first completed monthly review.
04 / BUY & WAIT
Every company receives a decision—and a reason.
Decision date: 27 August 2026.
No narrative overrides the rules.
HMS Networks
HMSExceptional margins, cash generation and structural growth pass the quality test. At roughly 47× trailing earnings, the required 25% margin of safety is absent.
Reassess after a meaningful valuation reset or faster per-share cash-flow growth.Latest company evidence ↗Medistim
MEDIA focused moat, debt-free balance sheet and record growth are compelling. The current earnings multiple still leaves insufficient downside protection under the MITUXA 25% rule.
Wait for a wider discount or another step-up in recurring growth and free cash flow.Latest company evidence ↗Vaisala
VAIASImproving orders, margins and operating cash flow pass the business test. A valuation above 30× earnings, close to the annual high, does not pass the entry test.
Require a cheaper entry without deterioration in order growth or EBITA quality.Latest company evidence ↗Kitron
KITRecord growth and better cash conversion are genuine. The price already discounts substantial execution while defence concentration and manufacturing cyclicality remain material.
Prefer a valuation reset or proof that current growth can persist beyond the defence surge.Latest company evidence ↗Bel Fuse
BELFBRevenue, margin and adjusted earnings momentum are excellent, but the share-price rerating has run far ahead of normalised earnings. The margin of safety is no longer adequate.
Wait for valuation compression or sustained earnings that validate the new multiple.Latest company evidence ↗Chrysos Corporation
C79Contracted growth, scaling margins and positive operating cash flow strengthen the thesis. Profitability is still too young and the valuation depends on aggressive future deployment.
Require a longer record of free cash flow and returns on deployed capital before upgrading.Latest company evidence ↗discoverIE Group
DSCVFree-cash-flow conversion and 15.2% ROCE pass the quality screen. At the current rating, acquisitions and margin expansion must work too well to provide a full 25% safety buffer.
Reassess at a lower price or after organic growth improves without higher leverage.Latest company evidence ↗IPD Group
IPGProfitable growth, rising margins, strong operating free cash flow and lower net debt combine with a reasonable earnings multiple. The latest completed close sits inside our estimated 25% margin-of-safety zone.
Initial model allocation: €1,000. Reassess if cash conversion or organic growth weakens materially.Latest company evidence ↗CellaVision
CEVIHigh margins, net cash and an embedded diagnostic workflow remain attractive. Growth is not yet strong enough to justify the current mid-to-high twenties earnings multiple with 25% protection.
Wait for faster recurring growth or a lower valuation.Latest company evidence ↗Kendrion
KENDRThe industrial pivot, margin recovery and cash generation are encouraging, and valuation is reasonable. Growth, balance-sheet liquidity and durable returns on capital need further confirmation.
Upgrade only if industrial growth and free cash flow persist through the transformation.Latest company evidence ↗05 / GOVERNANCE
What we will—and will not—change.
Monthly reviews can change a thesis or move a company between BUY and WAIT. They cannot invent an earlier entry. A WAIT upgrade receives the next verified regular-market close and a dated explanation.
- BUY requires every decisive gate to pass.
- WAIT capital remains in cash.
- Corporate actions, dividends and currency are recorded.
- No entry or decision is rewritten retroactively.